CFB: Cincinnati Looks to Restore Big East's Reputation

CFB: Cincinnati Looks to Restore Big East's Reputation

If you have happened to wager on the baseball playoffs and thus far you have backed only the Cubs


2008-10-03

If you have happened to wager on the baseball playoffs and thus far you have backed only the Cubs, you might want to rethink your position on betting on Cincinnati tonight from the Big East. There is no doubt the Bearcats are the better team, that's why there favored right? However, if your wagering account is headed down the same path as many Wall Street financial institutions, backing a team from a conference that is 5-21 against the spread in non-conference play seems about as wise as taking available cash and placing it in the stock market right now, because someone far worse than a television handicapper states, "This is a once in a lifetime opportunity to cash in on the stock market."

Cincinnati has a pair of talented wide receivers in Dominick Goodman and Mardy Gilyard, which could help bailout redshirt freshman quarterback Zach Collaros, who has been forced into duty because the two signal callers ahead of him have gone down to injury. It becomes imperative for Collaros to play well, since Bearcats are set up to pass the ball with the 14th ranked passing attack in the country (287.5 YPG). Cincy is 8-1 ATS after playing two straight non-conference games over the last three seasons.

The Cincinnati defense has been decent against all teams not named Oklahoma (that's not shocking), allowing 14 points per game in the other three outings. One area that needs to be fixed and fast is the pass rush, or the lack there of. The Bearcats have gotten to the quarterback just three times all season and they will need to do a better job if they expect to improve on 9-3-1 ATS record against teams with winning records.

Marshall was inept in rivalry game with West Virginia, totaling as many points as turnovers (3) and gaining 158 total yards in the game. Part of the problem is the Thundering Herd has Mark Cann at quarterback and like any freshman will have his ups and downs, especially when the competition is better. Marshall has lost both games against BCS opponents and is 9-24 ATS after playing a non-conference game.

Back in the glory days when Marshall became a D-1A program and joined the MAC, they were as difficult to beat in Huntington, WV as any team in the country at home. Sportsbook.com has the Herd on the receiving end of three points with a total of 50. Marshall is 6-1-1 ATS since 2000 as home underdogs.
This Friday night football game comes down to which youthful quarterback can play poised under pressure and not make miscues. Cincinnati receivers should be able to create room against a below average Marshall secondary, having a great opportunity to move to 10-4 ATS after failing to cover. The Herd on the other hand will have a boisterous crowd and if they can rattle the Cincy QB, they will have a chance to improve to 7-1-1 ATS off a spread loss.

The action will commence just after 8 Eastern on ESPN, with two universities that have met once since 1946 despite being only 153 miles apart.
StatFox Forecaster Cincinnati covers
StatFox Power Line Cincinnati by 14
Outplay Factor Cincinnati by 6

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