CFB Friday Night 3-pack

CFB Friday Night 3-pack

It would hard to find three more sorry games, but its football, so for gambling degenerates like me, life is pretty good. Because most of these teams are as familiar to bettors like the pro dancers on "Dancing with the Stars", here is look in on each game


2007-11-02

It would hard to find three more sorry games, but its football, so for gambling degenerates like me, life is pretty good. Because most of these teams are as familiar to bettors like the pro dancers on "Dancing with the Stars", here is look in on each game and my picks.

Temple at Ohio U (-7.5)

You say you're a big college football bettor? OK, who leads the MAC in total defense and is second stopping the pass? Seeing I picked this game, you got a 50 percent chance of being right. It's the Temple Owls. Bad news for Temple, QB Adam DiMichele is gone to a season-ending broken leg, which means winning four in a row won't come easy, at all.

Owls are 6-0 ATS when the total is between 49.5 and 56 this season.

Ohio U averages 35.5 points per game at home; Temple has scored that many points once this season. Bobcats have scored 42 points a game in last trio of contests while still averaging three turnovers a game! Ohio is 14-4 ATS in home games after a game where they committed one or less turnovers.

These teams are not very familiar with each since they have never played. Sportsbook.com has Ohio favored by 7.5-points; book the Bobcats to ruffle Owls feathers and cover.

Akron at Bowling Green (-7)

Whoever losses this game is more done than a burned steak at Outback in the MAC East. Akron averages anemic 113 yards a game on the ground, Bowling Green surrenders super-sized 216 yards by land, something's gotta give. Akron's offense sputters then dies out at 19.2 points a try. Zips are 1-9 ATS after playing a conference game over the last two seasons.

Bowling Green has performed a trick even Criss Angel would find impossible, lost to Temple and Buffalo in same season. The Eagles are aptly named since all they can do is throw for 300 yards a game. Running backs develop cramps after 3.6 yards per carry for Bowling Green. They are a rock solid 0-7 ATS in home games over the last two seasons.

If this was roulette table, double zero would be the better play, but I'll take BG because I like bad teams that are home favorites, trusting the oddsmakers judgment. (See Marshall last week.) If you have ESPNU watch this instead of Law and Order on the USA Network for the one millionth time.

Nevada (-7) at New Mexico State

If you're not betting the game, ESPN2 should send you free month of ESPN Insider just for watching. Without doing any research, I'm comfortable with the fact this should be the only game this weekend that can viewed in which both teams average 400 or more yards on offense and 400 yards allowed on defense. This sets up potential for this to be the largest amount of land given up since the Louisiana Purchase. (If you don't what that means, Google)

Nevada has the Pistol Offense and will score a lot with QB Colin Kaepernick throwing and running. New Mexico State will throw a lot because they have coach Hal Mumme with QB Chase Holbrook.

Nevada's defense brings to mind the Grenada army. New Mexico Stateā€˜s defense is like General Custer's outfit. Wolf Pack are 14-5 ATS as a favorite, Aggies are 6-17 ATS as an underdog. I got all D's in math, but got an A in cognitive reasoning, play Nevada.

It's chalk city tonight for me, good luck and just think you will be hearing Dick Vitale's voice in no time and him telling you he's pretty good for a guy with one eye.

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