CFB - Miami-O vs Central Michigan

CFB - Miami-O vs Central Michigan

Central Michigan and Miami Ohio will meet for the first time since September of 2005, with the MAC title hanging in the balance.


2007-11-30

Central Michigan and Miami Ohio will meet for the first time since September of 2005, with the MAC title hanging in the balance.

The Chippewas were 6-1 SU & 4-2 ATS in league play and are looking for a second straight league title. Miami Ohio won the East Division despite their loss to Ohio the last time out. The Redhawks are seeking their first MAC crown since '03. Past MAC title games have been competitive, with eight of the 10 games decided by 8 points or less. The dog is 7-3 ATS, and the team with the worse record, in this case Miami Ohio, owns a 6-1-1 ATS mark. This is just the third h2h meeting since '96.

This one doesn't read like the most compelling conference championship you could find, but it has been that kind of year for college football and the MAC. The pressure will really be on Miami-Ohio even more so than compared to opponent Central Michigan. The Redhawks blew a 17-7 halftime lead at Ohio U. and ended up losing 38-29 to the Bobcats. What this means is Miami-O has to win this game to become conference champions and to play in bowl game. Because if they lose, they would be 6-7 (below .500) and not be eligible for a bowl game especially with other teams in the conference already meeting needed criteria.

Miami and Central Michigan have not faced one another since the 2005 season when the Chippewas won 38-37 as 21.5-point underdogs. CMU is an offensive juggernaut led by sophomore Dan LeFevour who will be trying to engineer back to back MAC titles for the Mt. Pleasant university. LeFevour has led his team to score 39.2 points a game in conference games. LeFevour, still only a redshirt sophomore, owns the Central Michigan season and school records for pass completions. He also is getting done on the ground being such a versatile athlete, with over 700 yards rushing. The Chippewas defense more a nuisance then being productive. The secondary is a mere shell of its preseason capabilities with three original starters, plus two top reserves gone. Even if you subtract the 122 points they surrendered against Kansas and Clemson, they still allow 33.4 PPG.

Miami has claimed its fourth MAC East title in the last five years and are led by QB Daniel Raudabaugh, who has completed over 55 percent of his throws for better than 2,000 yards, with 11 touchdowns and 10 interceptions. The Redhawks offense is just average and will need defense to bring best effort to hold down Central Michigan's offense. Miami has arguably the league best linebacking core with Clayton Mullins among the nation's leading tacklers, and Caleb Bostic and Joey Hudson flying around to the ball.

Key Trend Central Michigan is 12-4 ATS the last two seasons as a favorite.

In these types of games its offense, not defense that matters. The Chippewas has more weapons to score and will keep the scoreboard operator busy. Miami-O will have no problem putting up points and depending on exact spread, are threat to cover with 10-2 ATS versus defensive teams - allowing 450 yards or more game.

Prediction Central Michigan by 13

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