CFB: Top Teams Challenge Bettors in Poinsettia Bowl

CFB: Top Teams Challenge Bettors in Poinsettia Bowl

Based on quality, instead of TV ratings, this is one of the top 7 bowls of the season. In fact this bowl game even has higher ranked teams then the Orange Bowl. Boise State (7-2-2 ATS) finished unbeaten for the third time in five seasons.


2008-12-22

Based on quality, instead of TV ratings, this is one of the top 7 bowls of the season. In fact this bowl game even has higher ranked teams then the Orange Bowl. Boise State (7-2-2 ATS) finished unbeaten for the third time in five seasons. Their road wins at Oregon and Southern Miss carry more weight today in retrospect. Let's not forget the TCU (10-2, 8-3 ATS) resume isn't too shabby. A couple of missed field goals in Utah and bad first quarter in Norman against the Sooners, who are in the BCS title game, are the only blemishes for the Horned Frogs.

These are two of the best defensive teams in the country, with TCU 2nd and Boise State 3rd in points allowed. The Horned Frogs are 15-4 ATS in the second half of the season the last three years and held Oklahoma (along with Texas) to its lowest point total (35) of the year. Quarterback Andy Dalton is an effective leader, bringing to the gridiron what TCU needs on any given day. If he needs to run the running game, no problem, being an above average runner. If the opponents put eight or nine defenders in the box, Dalton can air it out, with 300-yard passing games like he had against Wyoming and Air Force. The Horned Frogs are 8-2 ATS as favorites and 11-3 ATS after out-gaining foes by 125 or more total yards in two consecutive games.

Let's be candid, Boise State deserved to be in Fiesta Bowl over Ohio State, but how well the Buckeye fans travel and television ratings took precedent in the imperfect world of bowl selections. Even with its two previous unblemished teams this decade, the Broncos didn't have a defense this good. Boise State opponents averaged 26.6 points a game and they held them to average of 12.2 points per game. TCU averaged 216 yards per game running the ball this season and coach Chris Peterson's club only allowed 105 YPG at three yards per carry.

Boise State also plays well against outstanding defensive teams and is 10-2 ATS versus good defensive teams allowing 310 or fewer yards a game. The offense came together late in the season under the steady hand of redshirt freshmen quarterback Kellen Moore. They averaged 49 points in last five outings and have the dynamic duo of running backs Ian Johnson and Jeremy Avery sharing the load, combining for 1,416 yards and 16 TD's.

Sportsbook.com, like most wagering outlets opened this contest as a Pick and those laying down the money have preferred TCU, making them a three-point favorite with a total of 46. Barring turnovers, the total going Under could be the play.

TCU is 10-13-1 in bowls, with 6-3-2 ATS record. Boise State is a more recent development to the postseason action and is 5-3 SU and ATS. Whatever team that finds a way to move the ball or force turnovers will be winner.

ESPN will have the telecast of this eminent Poinsettia Bowl starting at 8 Eastern.

Sportsbook.com Line TCU -3, 46
StatFox Power Line Boise State -1
StatFox Consensus Boise State and UNDER

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